Blockbuster Blueprint with Michael Simmons

Blockbuster Blueprint with Michael Simmons

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Blockbuster Blueprint with Michael Simmons
Blockbuster Blueprint with Michael Simmons
LIVE @ 1PM EST TODAY: AI Second-Order Effects Mental Model
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LIVE @ 1PM EST TODAY: AI Second-Order Effects Mental Model

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Michael Simmons
Jun 13, 2024
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Blockbuster Blueprint with Michael Simmons
Blockbuster Blueprint with Michael Simmons
LIVE @ 1PM EST TODAY: AI Second-Order Effects Mental Model
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The topic of today’s AI masterclass, the third in the AI 100 series, is the Second-Order Effects mental model, which is one of my favorite mental models. Hands down.

As a reminder, today’s class is at 1:00-2:30pm EST today, Thursday, June 13.

This is going to be a big one!

How To Attend Live Or Get The Recording

Paid subscribers get access to the full recording and future live sessions ($500 value).

Free subscribers get access to the first 30 minutes of each recording on-demand.

The link to join today’s session is at the bottom of this post. Only paid subscribers will see the link.

Blockbuster Blueprint with Michael Simmons is a reader-supported publication. It includes 100+ evergreen, research-backed articles that I have written over the last 8 years, which have taken 40+ hours per post on average.

Overview Of Second-Order Effects

Failing to consider second- and third-order consequences is the cause of a lot of painfully bad decisions... Never seize on the first available option, no matter how good it seems, before you’ve asked questions and explored.
—Legendary Investor Ray Dalio


Second-order effects is a mental model that helps you make better decisions. It is particularly helpful to use during transformative moments that will have a huge impact that ripples through every part of the world—government, education, business, culture, etc. 

When we think of the future, we tend to think of obvious and immediate consequences. As a result, we tend to ignore the domino chain of effects.

In life, the more you consider second-order effects, the more successful you become... 

  • When you see future challenges, you can avoid them.

  • When you see future opportunities first, you can capitalize on them first.

Second-order effects are often surprising. 

Who would’ve thought that cars would eventually lead to hotel and restaurant chains?

While much of the future is unpredictable, a lot of it actually is predictable if you think through things rigorously. Having a better map of the future map can be the key to your success as an innovator, leader, or knowledge worker.

Agenda For Today’s Session

  • Overview of the Second-Order Effects mental model

  • Brainstorm and learn AI Second-Order Effects across domains:

    • Government

    • Education

    • Politics

    • Personal (relationships, chores, driving)

    • Economics (jobs)

    • Business

    • Investing

    • Environment

    • Culture

  • Learn how to use ChatGPT to come up with better second-order effects

Link For Today’s Live Session (Paid Subscribers)

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